Vestas, REC see renewable energy demand returning

Renewable Energy Outlook 2010 sees REC and Vestas expecting stronger H2, with solar-grade silicon and wind turbines demand rising, backloaded earnings, Germany feed-in tariff cuts, US recovery, and order intake targeting 8,000-9,000 MW.

Two of Europe’s leading renewable energy industry groups, Vestas and REC, expect demand to pick up during the year as economies recover from the downturn.

Norways Renewable Energy Corp REC, one of the worlds biggest producers of solargrade silicon used in solar panels, said it expected the second half of 2010 to be better than the first, signaling an REC upbeat outlook despite uncertainty in its key German market.

Vestas, the Denmarkbased worldleading wind turbine maker, stuck to its fullyear outlook, saying it expected deliveries to pick up later in the year and, as European renewable firms rebuild momentum, 2010 earnings and revenues would be heavily backloaded, after a surprise firstquarter loss.

Vestas results were hit by lowerthanexpected production in the first quarter, which tends to be its weakest three months.

Suppliers of renewable energy equipment struggled in 2009 when orders dropped off due to the global financial crisis, which halted or delayed infrastructure projects around the globe.

The situation is different today and we hope that continues, Vestas Chairman Bent Carlsen said.

Vestas Chief Executive Ditlev Engel noted in a presentation in New York that Vestas got no orders in 2009 from the United States, which had been its biggest market in 20062008, but now the activity in the U.S. business is increasing.

He said Vestas was well on track to reach its target for order intake this year for turbines with capacity of 8,0009,000 megawatts, up from last years weak level of 3,702 MW.

Engel said prices of some components were rising as a consequence of increasing raw material costs.

Solar energy firms too have seen demand picking up, with the solar market showing a brighter future after being hit by a lack of financing for their customers projects and a glut of panels last year, though green project finance costs are expected to stay high through 2010.

Shares in REC lost 5 percent, underperforming the FTSE cleantech energy index, which was down 1.5 percent, as U.S. solar stocks faced German demand fears.

We are going to see a 2010 that is heavily backloaded both in terms of revenues and earnings, Engel said, meaning that profits and solar sales would come in the latter part of the year.

Vestas results came two days after it announced its biggest ever order, a 1,500megawatt order from Portugal that lifted its shares sharply.

Analyst Henrik Schultz at Argo Securities said RECs positive outlook for the second half had to be weighed against uncertainty for the industry and its upcoming share issue.

That is making the market very schizophrenic just now, Schultz said. REC is expected to announce terms of a 4 billion crowns US $724 million share issue.

U.S.based First Solar, the solar industrys lowestcost manufacturer, releases its results after the closing bell, with recent solar earnings suggesting demand fears may be overblown.

Much of this years surge in solar demand has occurred in Germany, where renewable energy developers have rushed to get projects in place before planned cuts in feedintariffs for new rooftop solar installations.

REC said growth in other markets was expected to compensate partly for weaker demand in Germany, adding that return on investments on solar power systems would remain attractive after the incentive cuts.

Although the estimate range remains wide, industry analysts seem to have increased their demand estimates for 2010 toward 10 gigawatts, with solar investors expected to see a strong 2010, REC said. It had previously said demand forecasts ranged between 710 gigawatts.

The solar industry added a record 6.4 gigawatts new capacity last year, bringing total capacity to more than 20 gigawatts GW, despite tightened credit.

Related News

• Electricity Forum News

• Renewable Energy News